Young-Survival
0xd82f93324c0db0f85240718733f00e37746c0274
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$117.88
Total PnL
$-17.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
139 shares @ 54.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$61.80
$-13.19
- YES
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
140 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$22.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.70
$-0.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$11.55
$3.61
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$-0.70
- YES
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.35
$-2.25
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
60 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.98
$-0.06
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?
30 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.70May 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.97May 5, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?$2.91May 5, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.95May 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.10May 5, 06:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.12May 4, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".