Trifling-Contention
0xd83ffc4b9c3196edff2c07a88e5384ce129b49d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$627.94
Total PnL
$-866.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1057 shares @ 18.9¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$197.10
$-2.90
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$139.29
$39.29
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
551 shares @ 54.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$129.57
$-170.43
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
269 shares @ 37.2¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.50
$-37.50
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
1030 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
901 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
351 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-94.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$43.50May 4, 03:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $174.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".