Studious-Raincoat
0xd85c744c901fa99402e9c034cb657937e9e2f69c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$340.15
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
767 shares @ 10.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.88
$14.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
537 shares @ 23.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.99
$-30.73
- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
687 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.35
$-3.43
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
158 shares @ 67.9¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.71
$-51.44
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.15
$0.35
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.13
$-41.88
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?
1111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
774 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$64.60May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$48.75Apr 29, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$1.25Apr 29, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Wall Street" during WHCA Dinner events?$49.26Apr 26, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?$25.00Apr 26, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?$1.95Apr 26, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?$42.00Apr 26, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Wall Street" during WHCA Dinner events?$31.50Apr 26, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?$36.80Apr 25, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?$9.10Apr 25, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$10.78Apr 25, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$4.61Apr 25, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$8.95Apr 25, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arc" or "Arch" during WHCA Dinner events?$8.95Apr 25, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$13.99Apr 19, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$200.00Apr 19, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$10.00Apr 19, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$10.00Apr 19, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$6.27Apr 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$11.40Apr 17, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $28.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".