Agreeable-Overexertion
0xd8624d7523926f2ff5f3d5c72de547daa77cf135
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$720.64
Total PnL
$-215.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 48.9¢·now 55.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.30
$13.50
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.00
$50.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.15
$46.15
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.99
$20.99
- NO
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.74
$0.74
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
40 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.72
$15.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$36.25
$6.25
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$27.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$27.25
$0.25
- NO
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
40 shares @ 66.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.99
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.67May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$5.11May 17, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?$5.31May 17, 01:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.56May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$13.52May 16, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$4.47May 16, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$33.99May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?$16.20May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$37.00May 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?$10.80May 16, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.48May 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$4.52May 16, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$20.00May 16, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?$20.00May 16, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 16, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$50.00May 16, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$50.00May 16, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$100.00May 16, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$20.42May 16, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".