Compassionate-Pool
0xd89b654c0be205f4ff877c639fc2b2e7c2d05538
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$58.64
Total PnL
$-61.48
Realised
$5.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.24
$0.23
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.30
$-0.20
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$-0.05
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
69 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.90
$-1.47
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.89
$-0.08
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.60
$-0.85
- YES
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$-0.94
- NO
Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.68
$-0.70
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.73
$-0.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$5.20May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?$5.00May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$10.06May 17, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.58May 17, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.52May 17, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$8.55May 16, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$5.10May 15, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Ducks$3.63May 15, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$3.31May 15, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.29May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$4.91May 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.49May 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 14, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 14, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.03May 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.52May 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 14, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$9.92May 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.13May 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.43May 12, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".