Exalted-Wrist
0xd8a0b6d3721e3e676febb95919167466e6542c5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-43.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.9K
$-47.50
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
875 shares @ 97.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$845.49
$-3.64
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
553 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$340.29
$2.77
- NO
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
198 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$195.33
$1.59
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.78
$2.78
- NO
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.83
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$30.50May 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$512.99May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$139.66May 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$97.10May 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.05May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$0.88May 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$15.25May 17, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$17.08May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$4.89May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$194.05May 17, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$600.00May 17, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$509.71May 17, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.56May 17, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$172.07May 16, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$27.11May 16, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by July 31?$926.83May 16, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$580.06May 15, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$484.30May 15, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $493.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".