Capital-Dependent
0xd8b416b1bc1681b4d28da1bb9b83405fb29d1217
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$92.32
Total PnL
$-127.70
Realised
$0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
65 shares @ 84.1¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$30.40
$-24.60
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
66 shares @ 76.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.07
$-29.93
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 90.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.23
$0.23
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.5¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.53
$0.53
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.86
$-0.69
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
19 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.79
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$1.03May 18, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$2.03May 18, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$0.00May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$3.68May 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.88May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$5.16May 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$3.06May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$3.00May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuke" in May?$3.39May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.00May 16, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.16May 14, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.39May 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$6.38May 13, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$2.03May 11, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".