Elastic-Bonsai
0xd8b47f5b7cd80b7ef46b546a4404951e066aaaaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$61.45
Total PnL
$-0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
43 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$42.88
$-0.02
- NO
Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$13.09
$-0.01
- NO
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.49
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$26.40May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?$13.10May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$16.50May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?$5.49May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?$5.50May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on May 18?$13.20May 17, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?$5.49May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 18?$18.01May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$22.09May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$22.07May 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 17?$0.24May 17, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 17?$4.99May 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 17?$15.19May 17, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 17?$15.20May 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$15.51May 16, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 17?$5.24May 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 16?$7.94May 16, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 16?$7.95May 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$15.51May 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$6.23May 15, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".