Slight-Effacement

• NO

  Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

  561 shares @ 80.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $442.95

  $-9.07

• NO

  Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

  1135 shares @ 30.8¢·now 27.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $311.05

  $-38.37

• YES

  Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

  1479 shares @ 21.8¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $310.55

  $-11.73

• NO

  Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

  244 shares @ 72.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $182.76

  $6.56

• YES

  Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

  557 shares @ 31.5¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $116.95

  $-58.52

• YES

  Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

  2794 shares @ 13.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $101.98

  $-287.40

• NO

  Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

  164 shares @ 29.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $28.76

  $-20.33

• YES

  Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

  22 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $0.53

  $0.20

• YES

  Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

  10904 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $0.00

  $-277.24

• YES

  Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

  2603 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026

  $0.00

  $-27.59

• TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.71May 18, 02:53 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.12May 18, 02:38 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.70May 18, 02:02 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.33May 18, 01:37 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.58May 18, 01:15 UTC
• TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$15.67May 17, 23:54 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$49.00May 17, 22:05 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$54.01May 17, 15:40 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$89.16May 16, 21:19 UTC
• REWARD$1.35May 16, 00:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$30.65May 14, 21:39 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$8.81May 14, 21:38 UTC
• TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?$82.97May 14, 21:37 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$31.66May 14, 16:53 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$6.18May 14, 16:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$4.81May 14, 16:20 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$7.97May 14, 15:54 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.39May 14, 15:16 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$197.50May 14, 15:08 UTC
• TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$9.91May 14, 14:16 UTC

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