Dependent-Cravat
0xd8bca7a290cb12c77f7282ffc1d846e06f30e260
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-223.43
Realised
$7.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2330 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-11.64
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
72 shares @ 82.8¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.21
$-23.79
- NO
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.80
$-1.20
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
336 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- MONTE
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
106 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
56 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- 76ERS
Knicks vs. 76ers
52 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
29 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- T1 ACADEMY
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.1KMay 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?$3.02May 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.5KMay 15, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$8.32May 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.48May 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$55.16May 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$19.86May 15, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$21.00May 15, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$14.08May 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$33.24May 15, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$87.00May 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$10.00May 15, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$268.55May 15, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 14?$20.04May 14, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?$5.02May 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?$3.00May 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.10May 14, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?$60.30May 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.08May 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?$5.00May 13, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $223.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".