Severe-Croup
0xd8c545de4be4d0b7acd9024c273bbaf2d479b4e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-117.81
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
1285 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$1.3K
$449.75
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
745 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$732.71
$114.36
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
614 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$411.38
$24.56
- NO
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
270 shares @ 79.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$230.85
$16.97
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
213 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$70.29
$-8.52
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
667 shares @ 10.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.02
$-32.35
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.90
$2.10
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$0.02
- YES
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
4 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.40
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$357.24Apr 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$231.66Apr 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$821.10Apr 27, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$386.82Apr 23, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$582.00Apr 23, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$0.81Apr 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$66.56Apr 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$13.43Apr 21, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$17.16Apr 21, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars$331.00Apr 13, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMHapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball$660.00Apr 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$14.80Apr 12, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$574.56Apr 11, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$352.59Apr 11, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$19.32Apr 11, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$5.76Apr 11, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$10.80Apr 11, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$18.12Apr 11, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$367.19Apr 10, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$412.02Apr 9, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $178.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".