Wilted-Burden-Survivor
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$192.8K
Total PnL
$5.8K
Realised
$6.0K
Win rate
65%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
10722 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.6K
$239.00
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
10000 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.0K
$15.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15000 shares @ 65.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.5K
$-326.58
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
5923 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.9K
$129.63
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
7700 shares @ 74.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.9K
$133.55
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
5694 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.6K
$104.38
- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
5658 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.6K
$188.85
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
5418 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.4K
$72.08
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
5555 shares @ 90.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.3K
$275.13
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
5292 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.2K
$420.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$101.11May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$160.85May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$500.00May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$5.74May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$15.97May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$10.11May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.7KMay 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$130.20May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.1KMay 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$130.20May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$620.00May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$124.00May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$130.20May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$1.77May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$0.70May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$35.40May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$9.87May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$8.92May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$900.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$10.11May 18, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$11.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 17, 13:30 UTC → May 17, 13:26 UTC
- SELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.8K@97¢May 17, 13:26 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$11.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$11.8K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
$11.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $192.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".