Rare-Shirt
0xd8d58711e1631ca5319230ea1be96a6ed1537dcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$387.95
Total PnL
$-334.68
Realised
$52.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
141 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.79
$33.63
- NO
Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
77 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$76.99
$14.63
- NO
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
89 shares @ 79.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$64.08
$-6.23
- NO
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.90
$-34.10
- NO
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
77 shares @ 76.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$32.73
$-25.80
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
25 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.46
$3.63
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?
224 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-169.92
- NO
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?
148 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-112.47
- ZVEREV
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
100 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-54.90
- NO
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
44 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jhon Ariel Rioja win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$19.48Apr 22, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?$76.99Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?$99.99Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$100.00Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$126.00Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$248.00Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$248.00Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$268.00Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$282.00Mar 31, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$20.83Mar 29, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jhon Ariel Rioja win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$4.74Mar 2, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jhon Ariel Rioja win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$11.23Mar 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$13.38Feb 25, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$44.12Feb 25, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$4.86Feb 25, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$97.02Feb 20, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$83.00Feb 18, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?$33.44Feb 13, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$58.52Feb 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$83.00Feb 9, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $61.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".