Fickle-Mustard
0xd8efab199c8a3c6581a0049f379a1deeebb63655
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$701.22
Total PnL
$-77.24
Realised
$1.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
578 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$571.49
$16.71
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
64 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$64.13
$1.09
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
34 shares @ 81.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$34.38
$6.22
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
36 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.22
$0.18
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
100 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-97.32
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
6 shares @ 94.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$63.04Apr 2, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by March 31?$63.00Apr 2, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$28.16Mar 9, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$44.10Mar 9, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$72.30Mar 1, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$99.90Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$20.00Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$30.00Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$176.37Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$166.67Feb 27, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$167.00Feb 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$97.32Feb 24, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$161.66Feb 24, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$259.00Feb 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$31.04Feb 22, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$10.00Feb 22, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$21.05Feb 22, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$6.05Feb 20, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$3.04Feb 20, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$9.08Feb 20, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $106.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".