Buzzing-Incompetence
0xd8feab2a56f694b6255349953e30d1c3e1981975
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$127.47
Total PnL
$-112.27
Realised
$-4.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.50
$14.10
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.90
$2.90
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.02
$3.02
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.65
$2.65
- NO
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.45
$1.45
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.44
$0.44
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
33 shares @ 12.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.67
$4.67
- NO
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.65
$-0.55
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
216 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.08
$-2.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$20.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?$70.29May 18, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?$6.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?$10.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?$14.49May 18, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$15.00May 18, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$16.67May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$11.20Apr 7, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$10.35Apr 7, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$3.50Apr 6, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rihanna release an album in 2026?$7.20Apr 4, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?$3.54Apr 2, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?$8.10Apr 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.00Apr 1, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?$10.00Apr 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?$18.99Apr 1, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthis successfully target shipping by April 15?$2.50Mar 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthis successfully target shipping by April 15?$5.49Mar 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?$10.00Mar 30, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".