Stormy-Adjustment
0xd91b1436cf7ffb407c40ebd2fb610b12d293ac13
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-152.82
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1824 shares @ 63.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$665.74
$-486.80
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
491 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$490.86
$113.06
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
90 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$89.70
$44.51
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8478 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$63.58
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1405 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.70
$-38.26
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1255 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-48.69
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1151 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
929 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
533 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-236.00
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
255 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$124.67May 3, 15:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.52Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.50Apr 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.50Apr 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$7.88Apr 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$51.11Apr 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$32.93Apr 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.66Apr 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27.32Apr 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$67.23Apr 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$60.00Apr 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25.97Apr 13, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$1.89Apr 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$18.88Apr 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$88.00Apr 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$100.00Apr 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.80Apr 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.60Apr 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.60Apr 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$93.40Apr 13, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $101.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".