Ill-Espalier
0xd93c14265537023d6ee7082f5c6d0a81921fd454
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$888.14
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-30.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
1000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$725.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
880 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$154.00
$-286.00
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.77
$0.45
- NO
Will Trump praise Kash Patel by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7522 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-752.15
- UNDER 5.5
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5
969 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-305.90
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.49May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.61May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$3.55May 16, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$2.78May 16, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$250.00May 16, 05:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.74May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.60May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$400.28May 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$64.94May 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$29.20May 15, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$2.92May 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$27.04May 15, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$36.51May 15, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$7.30May 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$7.33May 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$29.21May 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$29.20May 15, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$149.36May 15, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$29.21May 15, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $48.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".