Growling-Residue
0xd98e5c8d8de5921fac5b24f92ef913acdee69bb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$331.25
Total PnL
$-230.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
1506 shares @ 18.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.25
$50.58
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
268 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-141.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
154 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-98.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
23 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
17 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11AM ET
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$141.86Feb 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$141.86Feb 28, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$124.99Feb 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$11.00Feb 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$80.45Feb 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$205.54Feb 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$131.80Feb 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$131.79Feb 16, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$117.11Feb 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$80.00Feb 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$100.00Feb 11, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11AM ET$6.00Feb 7, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Feb 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$4.00Feb 7, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10AM ET$0.75Feb 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10AM ET$7.20Feb 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ET$26.28Feb 7, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Feb 7, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ET$10.00Feb 7, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$200.00Feb 7, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $84.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".