Thin-Characterization
0xd9b2f19dff977451dc696424739a7659fa3d9ae2
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-982.83
Realised
$-3.36
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
1763 shares @ 82.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-211.56
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
309 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$211.66
$26.26
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
118 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.98
$-8.26
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.48
$0.48
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.87
$0.55
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$0.17
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.14
$0.08
- NO
Cobie mindshare all time high by March 31?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.00
$0.79
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.31
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
633 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-303.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$580.48Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$1.4KApr 24, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$544.05Apr 23, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$4.00Apr 13, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$37.00Apr 13, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$734.00Apr 13, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.2KApr 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$79.39Mar 31, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?$31.08Mar 31, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?$47.76Mar 31, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$668.80Mar 30, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?$551.73Mar 30, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$309.00Mar 27, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves$417.00Mar 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$494.55Mar 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$494.55Mar 25, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$46.80Mar 24, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$198.10Mar 24, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$234.90Mar 24, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$45.90Mar 24, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $224.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".