Variable-Nail
0xda0d6269d8362ad0dd156213715b3d69be2eccc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$93.27
Total PnL
$-6.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.25May 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$8.88May 8, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$22.00May 8, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$12.48May 8, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.54May 8, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.35May 8, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$25.50May 8, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.82May 8, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$30.00Apr 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $19,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $19,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?$5.29Apr 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$30.00Apr 20, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 2?$135.03Apr 2, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 2?$134.38Apr 2, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill DAX (DAX) hit 18900 (LOW) in March?$31.24Apr 1, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?$0.00Apr 1, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill DAX (DAX) hit 19200 (LOW) in March?$31.24Apr 1, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026?$0.29Mar 28, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $590 on March 27?$30.00Mar 28, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $25.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".