Glaring-Helo
0xda3f7aa664b2fbb9225b52d2eb8e3beff01bc282
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$49.5K
Total PnL
$-42.8K
Realised
$382.57
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
25000 shares @ 89.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
20000 shares @ 62.2¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.0K
$2.6K
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3883 shares @ 89.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.6K
$83.69
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3500 shares @ 79.7¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$486.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10969 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$592.32
$54.26
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
293 shares @ 85.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$274.68
$24.77
- NO
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
36 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.99
$-0.18
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
59692 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.6K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
10000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-3.0K
Recent activity
- REWARD$9.45May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$51.29May 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$35.62May 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$14.28May 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$0.39May 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$11.83May 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$170.27May 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$136.63May 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$51.08May 17, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$238.38May 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$1.7KMay 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$510.81May 17, 07:11 UTC
- REWARD$3.94May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$126.00May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$42.57May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$8.51May 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$151.19May 16, 18:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$162.09May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.4KMay 15, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".