Far-Brunch
0xda4d6c236cc356758246615f06f48cdd2be1217a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$909.23
Total PnL
$13.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
279 shares @ 84.2¢·now 90.2¢·exp May 16, 2026$251.66
$16.68
- NO
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
201 shares @ 70.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$198.57
$56.89
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
64 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$57.28
$-0.32
- NO
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
52 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$51.65
$18.65
- NO
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
49 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$48.98
$17.62
- NO
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
48 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$48.02
$8.10
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
232 shares @ 3.1¢·now 16.2¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$37.58
$30.36
- NO
Will Nathan Sage be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
34 shares @ 88.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$33.86
$3.78
- NO
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?
58 shares @ 18.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.61
$21.17
- NO
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 32.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.15
$14.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00May 11, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$0.00May 11, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Betts be the Republican nominee for TX-21?$0.00May 11, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$25.00Apr 6, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West release a new song in 2026?$26.97Mar 28, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?$136.00Mar 28, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$47.30Mar 16, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$139.97Mar 16, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$25.00Mar 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$19.50Mar 14, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$21.25Mar 14, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar release a new song in 2026?$5.00Mar 14, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?$19.00Mar 14, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.11Mar 14, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.98Mar 14, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.70Mar 14, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$76.98Mar 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$38.18Mar 14, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$10.00Feb 25, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.16Feb 25, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $23.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".