Unwilling-Elicit
0xda8548266d84e71f0c10b8e36e73170307e9caba
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$543.51
Total PnL
$-120.36
Realised
$17.92
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
267 shares @ 91.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.37
$-0.86
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
81 shares @ 91.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$75.50
$1.63
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
77 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.59
$1.04
- YES
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
84 shares @ 83.6¢·now 83.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
38 shares @ 79.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$37.94
$7.93
- YES
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
38 shares @ 78.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$31.01
$1.01
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
13 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.89
$0.48
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
173 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-145.72
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$22.05May 16, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$20.08May 16, 04:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$25.12May 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$30.00May 12, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$50.00May 12, 06:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$25.40May 11, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$100.00May 11, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?$10.56May 11, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$12.21May 11, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?$21.06May 11, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $46.98May 11, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$54.51May 11, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$76.39May 11, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $20.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 04:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".