Necessary-Zither
0xdaa12eefa9d564f497323f512fe253287296eb3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-149.74
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
747 shares @ 44.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$747.00
$413.09
- SAN LORENZO
Obras vs. San Lorenzo
1209 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$713.31
$48.36
- MIAMI MARLINS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
1423 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$711.50
$14.23
- NO
Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
558 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$558.00
$66.96
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
411 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$281.54
$6.17
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
623 shares @ 16.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$20.25
$-81.92
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.59
$-0.40
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.00
$0.34
- YES
Deel IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$-1.52
- YES
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDeel IPO before 2027?$16.00Apr 21, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$434.72Apr 21, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$423.28Apr 21, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$109.20Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$407.16Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?$214.02Apr 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$404.04Apr 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$414.96Apr 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$355.57Apr 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$93.16Apr 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$0.99Apr 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$21.00Apr 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$597.98Apr 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$125.02Apr 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$446.20Apr 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$117.32Apr 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$567.05Apr 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$105.92Apr 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score$545.20Apr 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$333.91Apr 13, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $229.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".