Huge-Refuge
0xdaa6a2cd4ba545befb3dbdc25d2b444c46873e62
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-49.73
Realised
$248.48
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
245 shares @ 81.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.84
$-3.39
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
207 shares @ 90.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.75
$1.24
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
421 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.29
$2.10
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
900 shares @ 25.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.50
$-68.50
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
560 shares @ 24.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$69.95
$-69.60
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.14
$-11.10
- YES
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
866 shares @ 18.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.96
$-97.36
- NO
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
100 shares @ 62.5¢·now 63.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.24
$0.74
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
147 shares @ 22.3¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.47
$20.81
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
127 shares @ 32.1¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.83
$4.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$1.95May 17, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$0.00May 17, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$0.00May 17, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.00May 17, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 16:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.20May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$26.23May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$4.35May 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.23May 16, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$61.23May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$3.40May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.08May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.22May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.68May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.47May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.26May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.85May 16, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $22.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".