Long-Term-Thermometer
0xdaaa284bce2c6c24a3ce95922415e175fcde0493
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$13.94
Total PnL
$-47.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.94
$-6.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
31 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
12 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- NO
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?$20.01May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$21.04May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$3.03May 9, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.05May 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$15.44Apr 21, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.01Apr 21, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$3.01Apr 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$3.00Mar 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.00Mar 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 6, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indies$2.98Mar 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.18Mar 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)$4.05Mar 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$4.10Mar 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$4.11Mar 6, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indies$2.53Feb 23, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$3.00Feb 23, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$4.00Feb 23, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$4.00Feb 23, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".