Occasional-Sprout
0xdab30bc0749e0c08dd00242bb86c53952d56a0ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$396.57
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3287 shares @ 73.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.6K
$204.84
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1875 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$-9.37
- NO
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1841 shares @ 81.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-422.81
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1203 shares @ 66.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$553.43
$-246.58
- YES
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $420,000 by February 1?
3627 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-747.34
- NO
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2730 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-710.00
- YES
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,100,000 by February 1?
2082 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-433.48
- NO
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
1712 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-788.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6AM ET
855 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
130 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2.1KMay 5, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$12.44Apr 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$11.84Apr 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$120.18Apr 11, 18:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Apr 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$106.82Apr 8, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.58Apr 8, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.63Apr 8, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.68Apr 8, 01:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Apr 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$76.70Apr 7, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$30.51Apr 7, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.30Apr 7, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$6.04Apr 7, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.55Apr 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$709.75Apr 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.40Apr 3, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.20Apr 2, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.00Apr 2, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.40Apr 2, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $237.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".