Ill-Trapezoid
0xdabac94a081884e161b400252d9b43f1062823f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.98
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
1194 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.98
$-6.57
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
4391 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2773 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$9.93May 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$4.2KMay 9, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?$4.2KMay 9, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?$4.1KMay 8, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$4.1KMay 8, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.6KMay 5, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?$3.6KMay 5, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?$3.6KMay 5, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 5?$3.5KMay 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 5?$3.5KMay 5, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$3.5KMay 5, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$3.4KMay 3, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$3.4KMay 3, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$3.0KMay 3, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$3.0KMay 3, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$1.7KMay 1, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.4KMay 1, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00May 1, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$925.04May 1, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$238.64May 1, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $947.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".