Sociable-Chocolate
0xdabe48d478da5dc9f60a1d1e3adf61ed3c0ebd89
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.2K
Total PnL
$-2.5M
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
30346 shares @ 39.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.1K
$-797.18
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
139 shares @ 72.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$121.27
$21.27
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4505324 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.1M
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
453346 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-238.5K
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
272392 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-58.6K
- DEMOCRATS
Senate control after 2024 election?
249779 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-65.1K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?
85328 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-19.3K
- NO
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
83320 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
48493 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- REWARD$8.60Feb 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$370.97Feb 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$5.38Feb 1, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$0.54Feb 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2.69Feb 1, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$32.18Feb 1, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.08Feb 1, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.2KFeb 1, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$20.03Feb 1, 13:18 UTC
- REWARD$9.98Jan 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$5.97Jan 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.75Jan 30, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2.30Jan 30, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.75Jan 30, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.75Jan 30, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$2.60Jan 30, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$5.38Jan 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$4.01Jan 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.75Jan 30, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.75Jan 30, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $101.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".