Unnatural-Carrier
0xdaf929d52d2cfbf9eae56b437a89edb8edc5158e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$471.82
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$10.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$196.90
$4.90
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
100 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.10
$3.50
- NO
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.15
$3.15
- NO
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 90.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.64
$3.50
- NO
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
37 shares @ 14.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$36.03
$30.82
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
2325 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
1150 shares @ 87.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
500 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
150 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$2.0KMay 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?$233.91May 2, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?$50.00May 1, 06:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.24May 1, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$103.61Apr 30, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$35.85Apr 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$35.85Apr 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$35.90Apr 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$35.95Apr 30, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$37.00Apr 30, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$34.20Apr 30, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$3.30Apr 30, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$38.00Apr 30, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$38.05Apr 30, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$37.05Apr 30, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$174.49Apr 30, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?$525.00Apr 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.0KApr 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$20.14Apr 27, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$66.43Apr 26, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $85.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".