Magnificent-Elicit
0xdbba36ff6b9f26eb7e0208c20813d886f905e651
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$188.71
Total PnL
$-603.01
Realised
$-105.82
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
150 shares @ 75.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$135.00
$22.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
600 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.50
$1.20
- YES
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.40
$-0.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
400 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.20
$-1.10
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.04
$0.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
34 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.70
$0.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.45
$-3.55
- YES
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in May 2026?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.80
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.00May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.70May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.70May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026?$0.23May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.31May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.00May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.60May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$112.50May 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.19May 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.17May 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.03May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in May 2026?$0.21May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.34May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.17May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.84May 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.12May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.24May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in May 2026?$0.09May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026?$0.17May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.12May 17, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".