Complicated-Heat
0xdbbe1339f93b860e0a207388412a0baf7c60f1d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-24.03
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
1932 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$67.62
- NO
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
704 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$704.00
$77.44
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
1090 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$545.00
$-10.90
- NO
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
570 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$487.35
$-14.25
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
320 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$320.00
$96.00
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
312 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$311.84
$0.16
- OBRAS
Obras vs. San Lorenzo
650 shares @ 27.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$266.50
$91.00
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
386 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$264.41
$32.81
- YES
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
632 shares @ 21.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$28.44
$-104.28
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 75.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.38
$-4.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$4.42Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$206.04Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$415.15Apr 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$271.92Apr 23, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$0.44Apr 23, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$7.67Apr 21, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$5.94Apr 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be at least 140k?$230.62Apr 12, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$64.00Apr 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$35.40Apr 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$334.56Apr 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$388.96Apr 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$30.60Apr 11, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$135.66Apr 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$133.00Apr 10, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$179.52Apr 10, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$376.38Apr 10, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$776.30Apr 10, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be at least 140k?$603.16Apr 10, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$4.18Apr 9, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $171.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".