Glass-Nail
0xdbd009aa3fd5a801860c9e0005097de972ab2e83
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$59.2K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
140962 shares @ 42.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$58.5K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
8610 shares @ 10.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$473.57
$-426.40
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
755 shares @ 13.2¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$187.71
$87.71
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$71.08
$-28.92
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.84
$-88.16
- YES
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
2597 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
2413 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
2358 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$78.50May 15, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$102.36May 15, 21:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $99.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".