Upset-Subject
0xdbf16bcffa41bd95faec2640daa2c95ab2bd86b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.9M
Total PnL
$-412.38
Realised
$-945.61
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2500000 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.5M
$4.2K
- NO
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
389757 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$386.8K
$192.0K
- YES
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
4556 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.4K
$-159.45
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
389757 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.9K
$-192.0K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
4334 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.7K
$-151.74
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?
8372 shares @ 44.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$418.59
$-3.3K
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
152 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.12
$0.76
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$38.41May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$133.12May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$965.02May 18, 00:00 UTC
- SPLITWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.0KMay 17, 21:54 UTC
- MERGEWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0MMay 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.50May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$86.00May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$2.3KMay 17, 20:58 UTC
- SPLITWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0MMay 17, 09:06 UTC
- SPLITWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0MMay 17, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$4.3KMay 17, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?$2.43May 17, 02:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$26.84May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$119.44May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.1KMay 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$291.20May 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$291.23May 16, 21:52 UTC
- SPLITWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.0KMay 16, 20:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0MMay 16, 19:52 UTC
- SPLITWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$400.0KMay 16, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $17.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".