Aged-Drum
0xdc700b60c6ed2f9eb28a216314a167777ee3cc56
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$383.97
Realised
$805.52
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
1317 shares @ 64.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$888.73
$46.04
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
790 shares @ 87.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$764.54
$70.83
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
627 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$609.76
$3.80
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
838 shares @ 71.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$574.13
$-22.02
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
763 shares @ 71.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$568.06
$22.13
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
508 shares @ 89.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$494.64
$40.36
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
492 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$476.08
$7.40
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
459 shares @ 89.5¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$434.59
$24.00
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
396 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$369.06
$28.43
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
825 shares @ 35.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$354.72
$66.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$55.65May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$13.78May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$377.54May 16, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$500.03May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$49.98May 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $74.97May 16, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$84.08May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$4.71May 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$96.05May 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$4.80May 12, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$13.96May 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$8.84May 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$4.65May 12, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$35.34May 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$5.52May 12, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$5.98May 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$4.65May 11, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$6.90May 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$7.44May 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$23.70May 11, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $71.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".