Watchful-Fund
0xdc83474bc4cdf4d037f8be1eca21cfa290aabcd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$551.34
Realised
$-20.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2800 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.7K
$413.00
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1620 shares @ 93.6¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$21.36
- NO
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
1802 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$18.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2013 shares @ 66.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$173.20
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1285 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$160.62
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
500 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$437.50
$17.50
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
334 shares @ 50.2¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.41
$-4.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
527 shares @ 39.3¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$142.33
$-64.72
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
712 shares @ 37.1¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$135.19
$-129.01
- NO
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
110 shares @ 59.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$75.35
$10.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClavicular sentenced to prison?$15.51May 14, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$6.00May 11, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$59.97May 11, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$75.65May 7, 21:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.43May 5, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.28May 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.46May 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$136.62May 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.34May 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$163.80May 4, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.03May 4, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.15May 4, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.03May 4, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.06May 4, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$20.30May 4, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$22.33May 4, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.70May 4, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.03May 4, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.15May 4, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$40.61May 4, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $144.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".