Insubstantial-Tentacle
0xdc8bcad91788acef35d276883dfe10de2f27f894
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$212.72
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$46.85
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
598 shares @ 21.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.82
$-63.69
- YES
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
380 shares @ 11.9¢·now 15.4¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$58.76
$13.42
- YES
Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?
29 shares @ 73.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$22.10
$1.18
- YES
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
973 shares @ 8.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$14.60
$-70.38
- YES
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
111 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.49
$0.00
- YES
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$14.30
$1.30
- YES
Another Canada election called by June 30?
567 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.09
$-11.08
- YES
Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
249 shares @ 8.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.36
$-16.48
- YES
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
644 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$3.86
$-6.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$0.26May 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$0.05May 5, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$22.48May 4, 02:40 UTC
- REWARD$1.42May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$16.72May 3, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$267.38May 3, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$0.40May 3, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMLiberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?$6.07May 3, 03:50 UTC
- REWARD$1.35May 3, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.64May 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$52.43Apr 30, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Meiling Wang$2.10Apr 27, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.00Apr 25, 01:21 UTC
- REWARD$2.01Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?$0.08Apr 20, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUtah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5$45.22Apr 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: Milana Ivantsiv vs Elena Pridankina$0.25Apr 20, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: Milana Ivantsiv vs Elena Pridankina$0.53Apr 19, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: Milana Ivantsiv vs Elena Pridankina$0.51Apr 19, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: Milana Ivantsiv vs Elena Pridankina$0.25Apr 19, 22:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $15.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".