Ornery-Citizen
0xdcb4fa0c35d1e917dc96d25b3bdee7d4056c372a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$121.22
Total PnL
$-4.64
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.28
$0.28
- NO
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
10 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will "Man on Fire" be the top US Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- NO
Netanyahu out by May 31?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.99
$-0.02
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 92.2¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$1.64May 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$1.25May 18, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.00May 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$5.00May 17, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?$1.15May 17, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$10.25May 17, 09:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$3.38May 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$1.01May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?$1.00May 16, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?$1.10May 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?$5.00May 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$5.00May 16, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 16, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$5.00May 16, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.20May 16, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00May 16, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.01May 16, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".