Awkward-Stepaunt
0xdd9c961288a032098076267bd665d407dac231a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$61.0K
Total PnL
$30.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
60422 shares @ 8.0¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.4K
$37.6K
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
46877 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.7K
$1.6K
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
4167 shares @ 9.2¢·now 59.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.5K
$2.1K
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
33336 shares @ 25.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$-6.2K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
1042 shares @ 64.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$958.46
$291.70
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
1042 shares @ 35.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$942.83
$578.20
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
1042 shares @ 19.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$895.95
$698.01
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
1042 shares @ 7.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$770.93
$695.13
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
53717 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$617.74
$-153.52
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
122793 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$552.57
$-61.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$1.68May 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$34.35May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.11May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$1.68May 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$19.89May 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.31May 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.31May 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.31May 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.31May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.31May 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.31May 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.31May 14, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.22May 14, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".