Marvelous-Message
0xdd9f3d41d166ee393e78e19f93be2a6004257f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
42%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
1241 shares @ 83.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$78.56
- NO
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1243 shares @ 44.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$559.38
$3.62
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
542 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 30, 2026$515.93
$15.93
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
734 shares @ 65.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$465.81
$-13.92
- NO
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
469 shares @ 57.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$316.74
$47.96
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
448 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$275.37
$-24.63
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
419 shares @ 47.5¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.78
$16.90
- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
327 shares @ 43.3¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.02
$29.37
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
360 shares @ 41.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.80
$-76.10
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
121 shares @ 57.8¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.78
$-2.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$20.00May 17, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$51.28May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$303.96May 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$391.74May 17, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$401.77May 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$50.00May 16, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$470.12May 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$419.79May 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$30.11May 14, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$27.31May 14, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.12May 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$6.08May 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by May 31, 2026?$10.10May 13, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?$10.13May 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$21.15May 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$202.48May 12, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$154.88May 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$501.56May 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$400.00May 12, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $245.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".