Internal-Polarization
0xddad993e4b0a0270c210b5ad475b3ccdf0066469
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$-7.64
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
105 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.94
$-0.33
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
7 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
6 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
3 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.36Mar 16, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.29Mar 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$13.03Mar 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.16Mar 16, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.04Mar 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.15Mar 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.58Mar 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.32Mar 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.27Feb 21, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.00Feb 21, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Feb 20, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.40Feb 20, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 20, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 20, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.50Feb 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.70Feb 11, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 11, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".