Dead-Manner
0xde2b15f2ae139dbfe6f6312f8f61edfa6d0173a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-103.32
Win rate
45%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
2068 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-10.34
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
562 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$561.72
$0.28
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 45.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.34
$4.49
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
46 shares @ 32.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.29
$-9.43
- NO
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 41.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.62
$1.94
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 44.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$0.20
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.51
$-0.65
- NO
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.30
$-3.46
- HC SOCHI
KHL: HC Sochi vs. CSKA Moscow
624 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-81.12
- OLE MISS REBELS
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
352 shares @ 78.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-277.73
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$31.82Apr 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$25.80Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$34.40Apr 27, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$17.20Apr 27, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.9KApr 23, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$486.00Apr 13, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?$631.00Apr 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$554.24Apr 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$67.10Apr 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$164.71Apr 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$773.44Apr 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?$288.80Apr 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?$186.99Apr 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$55.20Apr 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$90.96Apr 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$4.80Apr 9, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$154.20Apr 9, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?$154.47Apr 7, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?$357.20Apr 7, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$249.69Apr 7, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $218.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".