Negative-Oregano
0xde39fd417ef9b36f6f4705f6af3153ffef2df9ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$74.88
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-129.37
Win rate
27%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
47 shares @ 53.8¢·now 58.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$27.23
$2.23
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
4878 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.07
$9.38
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
504 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.63
$9.63
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
504 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.28
$-2.72
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
1416 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.12
$-3.87
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
1393 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.09
$-7.91
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
1238 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
950 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.42
$-5.57
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.25
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$12.22May 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$11.78May 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$13.24May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.07May 17, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$4.02May 17, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.06May 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.06May 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.07May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.04May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$3.40May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.08May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.06May 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$1.03May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSabres vs. Canadiens$16.07May 17, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$4.10May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$4.81May 17, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$1.54May 15, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$1.26May 15, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$1.03May 11, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$1.03May 11, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".