First-Calendar
0xde48dff7b012edc68545924ccc642becc7838102
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.69
Total PnL
$-5.15
Realised
$-1.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
184 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.78
$0.83
- YES
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
260 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$0.91
$-2.97
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$0.01Apr 22, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?$3.59Apr 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$488.30Apr 15, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?$4.21Apr 15, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$2.04Mar 30, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$494.00Mar 29, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$495.49Mar 29, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.00Mar 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$6.94Mar 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$495.00Mar 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$495.49Mar 8, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$496.00Mar 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$519.47Mar 2, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 26, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.00Feb 26, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Feb 25, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$520.00Feb 25, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$494.50Feb 25, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.00Feb 22, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $281.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".