Competent-Monasticism
0xde65b1511c46b561e394e3c897f1a14367ebeea5
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$405.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$75.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$955.00
$335.00
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$905.00
$55.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 81.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.00
$67.99
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$490.75
$6.40
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$452.49
$-2.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
397 shares @ 89.2¢·now 87.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$345.73
$-8.49
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
135 shares @ 83.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.92
$-10.13
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$148.46May 18, 01:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$81.18May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$83.00May 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$9.02May 14, 10:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$116.72May 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?$29.25May 13, 20:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$940.00May 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$192.01May 12, 10:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$40.95May 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$47.52May 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$36.40May 11, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$138.11May 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$72.58May 11, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $109.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".