Wretched-Mess
0xde7ed2253d8da0b623e026b0e5ef55f4ca91396b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$9.0K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$715.26
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13100 shares @ 6.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.2K
$342.72
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9800 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$13.04
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26681 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$920.51
$22.07
- YES
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
4280 shares @ 9.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$483.66
$88.87
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$449.50
$-16.70
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2333 shares @ 18.3¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$435.10
$8.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
1065 shares @ 27.2¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$378.22
$88.33
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4600 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$328.44
$-69.46
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
28300 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$325.45
$-889.34
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29950 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$314.48
$-14.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.42May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$23.89May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.05May 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$43.14May 17, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$60.86May 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$3.05May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$4.55May 17, 01:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.06May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.23May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$78.75May 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.24May 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$7.50May 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$3.72May 16, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$23.75May 16, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.53May 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.76May 16, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$0.16May 16, 01:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.34May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $32.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".