Hospitable-Bathhouse
0xde9f4ca6d5fc91c9d991b31b961b5aab629bcd36
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-978.39
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- SPACEX
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
941 shares @ 55.2¢·now 79.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$744.33
$224.90
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
686 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$685.66
$0.34
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
491 shares @ 79.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$491.00
$98.69
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
325 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$325.00
$104.00
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
715 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$225.22
$-17.88
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
160 shares @ 39.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$160.00
$96.64
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
135 shares @ 49.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$121.50
$55.35
- NO
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
316 shares @ 13.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.50
$77.42
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
112 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$112.00
$17.92
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.61
$1.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.37Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$355.77Apr 27, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$353.53Apr 27, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$1.32Apr 23, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$204.98Apr 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$459.81Apr 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$43.01Apr 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$23.46Apr 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$82.50Apr 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$46.80Apr 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$24.48Apr 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$27.20Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$741.51Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$11.52Apr 11, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$21.42Apr 11, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.3KApr 10, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$5.20Apr 9, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$354.42Apr 9, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$436.59Apr 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$224.07Apr 9, 13:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $211.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".