Pesky-Cummerbund
0xdea1b263e2b05a186d24afeec936f2c431c43d9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$50.94
Total PnL
$-34.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
1824 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$9.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
1465 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$6.59
$-3.41
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1154 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.19
$-2.80
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
1018 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.56
$-3.44
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
759 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.04
$-2.96
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.36
$0.36
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
23 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.62
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$10.49May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$2.10May 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$2.10May 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$2.10May 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.25May 10, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$4.20May 9, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$4.20May 9, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$4.20May 9, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$4.20May 9, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.15May 9, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$85.40May 9, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$1.05Apr 29, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 23?$1.00Apr 23, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 20, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$6.08Apr 20, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".