Tangible-Harpsichord
0xdef7a8b1d19e086f6e09d9583f3616cedeb8f638
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$360.95
Total PnL
$6.28
Realised
$3.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
120 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$118.53
$1.26
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
74 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.67
$0.92
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
86 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.67
$29.67
- YES
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
17 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.88
$0.03
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.87
$0.02
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
86 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.33
$-29.67
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.99
$0.39
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.96
$0.00
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.70
$0.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.61May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.21May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?$2.02May 18, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?$5.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$20.00May 18, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$12.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.2KMay 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.8KMay 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$191.80May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$37.19May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$47.95May 17, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$4.79May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$101.86May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$47.98May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$191.00May 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$9.53May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$9.54May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$9.55May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$5.74May 17, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $181.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".