Tremendous-Penalty
0xdf0850b029c97de282c491e91ce500384782cf97
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$970.05
Total PnL
$-453.67
Realised
$-115.82
Win rate
59%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
79 shares @ 56.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$72.34
$27.66
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$40.17
$2.19
- NO
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
38 shares @ 84.4¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.08
$4.31
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
35 shares @ 41.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$35.44
$20.90
- NO
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
33 shares @ 88.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$31.72
$2.64
- NO
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.40
$7.80
- NO
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
47 shares @ 54.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.73
$-1.79
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 23.2¢·now 64.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.98
$14.66
- NO
Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
20 shares @ 90.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$19.82
$1.70
- NO
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
33 shares @ 48.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$19.19
$2.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?$0.06May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?$2.80May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCap FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.11May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLPerena FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.50May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.08May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$19.72May 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$8.30May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$17.73May 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$2.00May 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$4.09May 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?$2.10May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$9.84May 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLHuddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?$16.74May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$28.90May 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?$2.20May 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.73May 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?$3.50May 17, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?$7.30May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCap FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.20May 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?$0.90May 17, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".